...STORM INVEST OVER THE YUCATAN HAS BEEN PRODUCING STRONG STORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA MOST OF THIS MORNING...

 

A STRONG WAVE AND LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA HAS BEEN PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND STORMS OVER THIS REGION AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD.  FORECAST CALLS FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT AS IT BEGINS TO TRAVEL OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE (SOUTHERN GULF).

RTW

000
ABNT20 KNHC 181745
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Aug 18 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located 
over northern Guatemala and southeastern Mexico have become a little 
better organized since yesterday. This system is forecast to emerge 
into the Bay of Campeche tomorrow, where an area of low pressure 
could form. After that, additional slow development of this system 
is possible while it moves northwestward over the southwestern Gulf 
of Mexico.  By Saturday night, the system is expected to move 
inland over northeastern Mexico.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane 
Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Friday, 
if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven