...STILL MONITORING INVEST 98L AND THE ENSEMBLE MODELS...CARIBBEAN ISLANDS, GULF COAST AND FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR CLOSELY...

 

BEEN MONITORING THE ENSEMBLES AND THEY ARE FOCUSED ANYWHERE FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.  

ONE THING WE HAVE TO REMEMBER THOUGH, WE DON'T HAVE AN ACTUAL CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THIS MEANS MODEL FORECAST COULD HAVE ERROR AFTER 5 DAYS.  

EVEN WITH A CENTER OF CIRCULATION THE MODELS HAVE HAD ERROR BEYOND FIVE DAYS.  SO LET'S NOT FOCUS ON THE MODELS, BUT THE CONTINUOUS HINTS THE MODELS ARE GIVING US, THAT A POSSIBLE STORM COULD DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO THE GULF. 

JUST KEEP MONITORING, PREPPING AND GETTING THINGS IN ORDER IN CASE IT HEADS YOUR WAY.  IT'S BETTER BEING READY EARLY THAN HAVING TO RUSH WHEN THE WATCH AND WARNING IS ISSUED.

TOP OFF YOUR SUPPLIES EARLY, AND BEAT THE RUSH, THE CHAOS AT THE GAS STATIONS AND SUPER MARKETS.

HOPING THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT BLOW UP TO BE A STRONG STORM.  BUT IF IT DOES WELL YOU WILL BE READY!

WE CONTINUE TO MONITOR  

RTW

00Z ECMWF (EURO) MODEL RUN

NOTE FORECAST ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE.  ERRO IN FORECAST BEYOND 5-DAYS

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