535 WTNT35 KNHC 171441 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ernesto Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052018 1100 AM AST Fri Aug 17 2018 ...ERNESTO STILL A TROPICAL STORM... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...47.1N 32.9W ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM NNW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ernesto was located near latitude 47.1 North, longitude 32.9 West. Ernesto is moving toward the northeast near 30 mph (48 km/h), and an even faster motion toward the northeast or east-northeast is expected during the next day or two. On the forecast track, the post-tropical cyclone or its remnants will move across Ireland and the United Kingdom Saturday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. While little change in strength is forecast during the next 36 hours, Ernesto is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone tonight and then become extratropical as it merges with a frontal zone on Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) mainly to the southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Information on rainfall and wind forecasts for Ireland can be found in products issued by Met Eireann at www.met.ie and for the United Kingdom in products issued by the United Kingdom Met Office at www.metoffice.gov/uk. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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STORM INVEST 99L
889 ABNT20 KNHC 171131 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ernesto, located several hundred miles northwest of the Azores. A tropical wave located about 400 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive, and significant development of this system is not anticipated. This disturbance is moving westward at about 15 mph and is forecast to move through the Windward Islands on Saturday, where it could bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Lesser Antilles during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
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ERNESTO TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT!
STORM INVEST 99L NOT VERY WELL ORGANIZED AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE
ANTILLES. INTENSITY MODELS CALL FOR A CAT 1 HURRICANE BUT LOOKING AT
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS THEY ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE AS THIS WEATHER
SYSTEM TRACKS TOWARD THE EAST CARIBBEAN. DEVELOPMENT IF ANY WILL BE
SLOW TO OCCUR AND SHORT LIVED...RTW
https://ralphstropicalweather.com/
STORM INVEST 99L